Ekonomist Harun \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, d\u00fcnyay\u0131 y\u00f6neten liderlerin, \u00fclkeleri \u015firket y\u00f6netir gibi y\u00f6nettiklerini, b\u00f6yle bir d\u00fcnyada gelece\u011fe d\u00f6n\u00fck kestirme yapman\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, \u201c\u00c7in sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmezse denizcilik piyasas\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6ker.\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
Ekonomist Harun \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n slogan\u0131n\u0131n \u201cbelirsizlik\u201d oldu\u011funu vurgulayarak, d\u00fcnyay\u0131 y\u00f6neten liderlerin, \u00fclkeleri \u015firket y\u00f6netir gibi y\u00f6nettiklerini, b\u00f6yle bir d\u00fcnyada gelece\u011fe d\u00f6n\u00fck kestirme yapman\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, \u201c\u00c7in sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmezse denizcilik piyasas\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6ker\u201d dedi.\u00a0
\nEkonomist Harun \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, Mersin Deniz Ticaret Odas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (MDTO) ocak ay\u0131 meclis toplant\u0131s\u0131na kat\u0131larak, \u201cK\u00fcresel Ekonomilerdeki Geli\u015fmeler ve T\u00fcrk Denizcili\u011fine Etkileri\u201d konulu bir sunum yapt\u0131. MDTO Meclis Toplant\u0131s\u0131nda, k\u00fcresel ekonomideki son geli\u015fmeler ve T\u00fcrk denizcili\u011fine etkileri \u00fczerine konu\u015fan \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131nda kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131labilecek konular, d\u00fcnya g\u00fcndemini me\u015fgul edecek sorunlar ve deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in tehditler konusunda de\u011ferlendirmelerde bulundu.\u00a0<\/p>\n
\u201c2019\u2019da global ekonomik belirsizlik temel konulardan biri olacak\u201d
\n\u00a0
\n2019\u2019da global ekonomik belirsizli\u011fin temel konulardan biri olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, k\u00fcresel ekonomik politika belirsizlik endeksinin 2018\u2019de 113.3 puandan 227.8\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, daha sonra 204.5\u2019e d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, ancak halen 2008\u2019deki puan\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcnde oldu\u011funu kaydetti. Bu durumun 2019\u2019da da devam edece\u011fini beklediklerini ifade eden \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, s\u00f6z konusu durumun yat\u0131r\u0131mlar konusunda negatif etki yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekti. 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n slogan\u0131n\u0131n \u201cbelirsizlik\u201d oldu\u011funu vurgulayan \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, hi\u00e7bir \u015feyi \u00f6nceden belirleyebilmenin m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bir \u015feyi \u00f6nceden kestirebilme periyodunun son derece k\u0131sald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dile getirdi. \u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/p>\n
\u201cD\u00fcnyay\u0131 y\u00f6neten liderler, \u00fclkeleri \u015firket y\u00f6netir gibi y\u00f6netiyorlar\u201d
\n\u00a0
\nABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n FED Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell\u2019i g\u00f6revden alaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131yla 24 Aral\u0131k\u2019ta d\u00fcnya borsalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6kt\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc an\u0131msatan \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, Trump\u2019\u0131n geri ad\u0131m atmas\u0131yla tekrar y\u00fckseldi\u011fini anlatarak, \u201cVolatil (oynak) bir d\u00fcnyaday\u0131z. S\u00f6zel y\u00f6nlendirmeler her an her \u015feyi de\u011fi\u015ftirebiliyor. D\u00fcnyay\u0131 y\u00f6neten liderler daha otokrat ve \u00fclkeleri \u015firket y\u00f6netir gibi y\u00f6netiyorlar. B\u00f6yle bir d\u00fcnyada gelece\u011fe d\u00f6n\u00fck kestirme yapmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil\u201d diye konu\u015ftu.\u00a0<\/p>\n
\u201c\u00c7in sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmezse denizcilik piyasas\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6ker\u201d
\n\u00a0
\nSermaye piyasalar\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir oynakl\u0131k oldu\u011funu ve 2018\u2019in sermaye piyasas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7ok k\u00f6t\u00fc bir y\u0131l oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyen \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in de olumlu bir beklentinin bulunmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlatt\u0131. \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131, himayecilik, jeopolitik riskler ve y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 teknoloji ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n di\u011fer g\u00fcndem konular\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, \u201cHimayecilik, neoliberalizmi en \u00e7ok savunan ABD\u2019den geliyor. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte himayecili\u011fi uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in D\u00fcnya Ticaret \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc ile OECD taraf\u0131ndan ele\u015ftirilen \u00c7in ise liberal ekonomiyi savunuyor. D\u00fcnya ticaretinin geli\u015fmesi i\u00e7in serbest ticaret yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekirken reel mili gelir a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan 1. s\u0131rada olan ABD eliyle neoliberal politikalar ask\u0131ya al\u0131n\u0131yor. 2019 y\u0131l\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re nispi olarak daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme bekliyoruz. D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 ve IMF 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in beklentilerini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize etti. IMF, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 3,5 b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. IMF ayn\u0131 zamanda, ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n devam etmesinin \u00c7in\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine y\u00fczde 2 etki yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Yap\u0131lan ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n devam etmesi halinde d\u00fcnya GSMH\u2019nin y\u00fczde 0,5 azalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koymaktad\u0131r. Buna ek olarak 2017\u2019ye g\u00f6re daha k\u00f6t\u00fc, 2015-2016\u2019dan daha iyi, 2018\u2019\u0131n biraz alt\u0131nda ya da \u00fcst\u00fcnde bir deniz ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fc bekliyoruz\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131.\u00a0
\n\u00c7in\u2019in sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin denizcileri \u00e7ok yak\u0131ndan ilgilendiren bir durum oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7eken \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, \u201c\u00c7in sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmezse denizcilik piyasas\u0131 b\u00fct\u00fcn segmentleri itibar\u0131yla d\u00f6kme y\u00fckler, tanker ve konteyner ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 bak\u0131m\u0131ndan \u00e7\u00f6ker\u201d diye konu\u015ftu.\u00a0
\nBir Ku\u015fak Bir Yol (OBOR) projesi kapsam\u0131nda \u00c7in\u2019in yapaca\u011f\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 da de\u011ferlendiren \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, \u00c7in\u2019in bu konudaki te\u015fvik ve yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n ekonomi i\u00e7in bir canl\u0131l\u0131k olu\u015fturabilece\u011fini, ancak buradaki hareketin konteyner ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 olumsuz y\u00f6nde etkileyebilece\u011fini ifade etti. Demiryolundaki konteynerlerin te\u015fvik edilmesinin deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda rekabeti getirece\u011fine i\u015faret eden \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, \u00c7in\u2019in OBOR i\u00e7in 125 milyar te\u015fvik verece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydetti.\u00a0<\/p>\n
\u201c\u00c7evreci regulatif \u00f6nlemler denizcilik g\u00fcndemini uzun s\u00fcre me\u015fgul edecek\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n
Deniz ticaret piyasas\u0131nda \u00e7evreci regulatif \u00f6nlemlerin denizcilik g\u00fcndemini uzun s\u00fcre me\u015fgul edece\u011fini belirten \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, yak\u0131t s\u00fclf\u00fcr oranlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 0,5\u2019e \u00e7ekecek k\u00fcresel s\u00fclf\u00fcr d\u00fczenlemesinin 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda uygulanmaya ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlatarak, s\u00f6z konusu uygulaman\u0131n denizcileri zorlayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve \u00e7ok say\u0131da geminin hurdaya ayr\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlatt\u0131. Deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda konsolidasyonun \u00f6zellikle konteyner ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda devam etti\u011fini vurgulayan \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, konteyner hat operat\u00f6rlerinin kulland\u0131klar\u0131 gemi tonajlar\u0131n\u0131 optimum seviyeye kadar b\u00fcy\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, \u00f6l\u00e7ek ekonomisini kulland\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Ancak, b\u00fcy\u00fck gemilerin piyasa girmesi ve bu gemilerin say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 bir durum olu\u015fturdu\u011funu ifade eden \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, hat ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kurulan ittifaklar\u0131n piyasan\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc kontrol etti\u011fini, bunun da k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u015firketlerin iflas\u0131na neden oldu\u011funu aktard\u0131. \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, \u015fu anda konteyner ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 10 \u015firketin k\u00fcresel kapasitenin y\u00fczde 60-70\u2019ine sahip oldu\u011funu kaydetti.\u00a0
\nYeni \u00fcretim modellerinin ve de\u011fi\u015fen t\u00fcketim al\u0131\u015fkanl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na olan talebi etkiledi\u011fini de belirten \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, \u015f\u00f6yle konu\u015ftu:\u00a0
\n\u201cK\u00fcreselle\u015fme yerini b\u00f6lgeselle\u015fmeye b\u0131rak\u0131yor. Yerinde \u00fcretim; t\u00fcketim merkezlerine yak\u0131n yerlerde \u00fcretme modeli \u00f6nem kazan\u0131yor. Bu, deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 etkileyecek unsurlardan biri.\u201d \u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Ekonomist Harun \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, d\u00fcnyay\u0131 y\u00f6neten liderlerin, \u00fclkeleri \u015firket y\u00f6netir gibi y\u00f6nettiklerini, b\u00f6yle bir d\u00fcnyada gelece\u011fe d\u00f6n\u00fck kestirme yapman\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. \u015ei\u015fmanyaz\u0131c\u0131, \u201c\u00c7in sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmezse denizcilik piyasas\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6ker.\u201d dedi. Ekonomist … Devam\u0131n\u0131 Oku…<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/akdenizolaygazetesi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3375"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/akdenizolaygazetesi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/akdenizolaygazetesi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/akdenizolaygazetesi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/akdenizolaygazetesi.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3375"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/akdenizolaygazetesi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3375\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/akdenizolaygazetesi.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3375"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/akdenizolaygazetesi.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3375"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/akdenizolaygazetesi.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3375"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}